BobtheBuilder wrote: ↑Tue Nov 01, 2022 9:37 pm
fat and old wrote: ↑Tue Nov 01, 2022 2:00 pm
If I was to question the decline in cycling rates in the NT since 2011, what would constructive engagement look like?
What stats are you going off?
Happy to use yours, as you seem to have an issue with my position
The 2019 National Cycling Participation Survey suggests rates have fallen nationally over the previous decade, not just in the NT.
Nationally, cycling participation 'in the last week' fell from 18.2% of the population to 13.8% between 2011 and 2019, a 23% fall. The NT 'in the last week' decline was from 26.3% in 2011 to 21.3% in 2019, a 19% fall.
For some reason, you go further than addressing my statement.
So the decline in cycling in the NT (at least measured in terms of weekly cycling) was less than the national decline. Which would suggest there's something broader going on.
But the 'ridden in the last week' rate is still way higher than other jurisdictions, except the ACT:
NT - 21.3%
NSW - 12.9%
VIC - 13.7%
SA - 13%
QLD -13.5%
Fair enough, I'm not disputing that. Nor did I question it. I simply asked about the decline cycling rates in the NT. And as per usual, you gave me a "but it's better than other jurisdictions" line. So what? Are you going to engage constructively or just keep telling me how bad it is elsewhere?
I would have thought constructive engagement would be to explain why cycling rates are
declining in spite of the lack of enforced MHL's? It's a fair question. Clearly having no MHL's as a barrier to cycling is not arresting the decline in numbers. Why is it an automatic assumption that cycling numbers will increase in other states if MHL's are relaxed? I note that you state that
But the 'ridden in the last week' rate is still way higher than other jurisdictions, except the ACT
No numbers supplied? I'll assume that they are greater than the NT. (found them. 22.2%.). How is that explained given that the ACT has MHL's and is pretty much the opposite to the NT in weather?
Something I found in your linked survey is interesting
Respondents aged 15 or older were asked a range of questions about whether they would consider riding for
transport trips. These respondents were then classified into four categories depending on whether they had
undertaken cycling trips for transport over the past month or indicated they would consider doing so. Across
Australia 70% of respondents indicated they were not interested in riding for transport (Figure 2.17). Most of
the remainder (26%) indicated they were interested but did not currently ride for transport. This group may
already ride for recreation purposes and indicated they could conceivably ride for transport. Around 3%
identified themselves as cautious riders; that is, they already ride for transport but prefer circuitous routes to
avoid traffic. The remaining 1% identified themselves as confident transport riders; that is, they already ride
for transport and will take the shortest route irrespective of traffic.
NT: Cautious riders 5% Confidant riders 1%
Vic: Cautious riders 3% Confidant riders 1%
Take the kids out of the equation, look only at "transport riders" and the numbers seem a bit closer. Way more aspiration in the NT, but the conversion rate isn't there.
It's not a simple issue that can be dismissed with condescending statements such as
Let's see if you can figure it out